As I predicted last week, mortgage rates have managed to ease somewhat over the past week thanks to a slumping stock market that has seen a miserable start to the third quarter. Investors are beginning to think that all of those “green shoots” of economic recovery may have been so many weeds as lackluster earnings reports, a sell off in the commodities markets, and concerns that the third quarter will fail to bring the robust growth many had hoped for are all taking their toll on stocks.
The Dow and S&P 500 both ended the day Tuesday at two month lows. Bonds have benefited from all this uncertainty as investors retreat to the safety of the capital markets and mortgage rates have reaped the reward. The benchmark thirty-year fixed-rate fell below 5.50% to settle in at 5.375% on Tuesday. Remember it was only a couple of weeks ago when we were almost at 6.00%.
Fifteen year mortgage rates fell to 4.625%. There are no big economic reports due out this week and I expect mortgage rates will continue to simply respond to the ups and downs of equities and commodities on a daily basis. With no major market movers, expect rates to remain in the 5.375% range and perhaps ease if the sell-off in stock continues.Print Story